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胡锡进：俄乌战争未了，中国该如何对待俄罗斯_我的网站
一 | Israeli officials are planning to ask US President Joe Biden for his formal blessing to provide an Iron Beam laser-based air defense system to Gulf Arab states including the United Arab Emirates and possibly Saudi Arabia, Israel’s Channel 12 has reported.,The unsourced Hebrew-language report, cited by the Times of Israel, indicated the delivery of the system to the Gulf countries would assist with the US-led push to ramp up air defense cooperation between Tel Aviv and a loose regional coalition including Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain, the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar.,The Jewish State does not have formal diplomatic relations with the latter two country, and Riyadh has repeatedly stated that it would not establish formal ties with Israel until the Palestinian question and the creation of a Palestinian state was settled.,On Sunday, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing US and Middle Eastern sources, that the Pentagon had organized a hush-hush meeting in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt in March to discuss ways to improve air defense cooperation against Iranian ballistic missiles and drones. The meeting was said to have been chaired by then-US Central Command chief Frank McKenzie, and attended by top military commanders from Israel and the Arab countries who were invited.,Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz, who announced the formation of a regional anti-Iranian air defense alliance last week, appeared to signal the veracity of WSJ’s reporting on Monday, saying Israel was “building” a “wide partnership with additional countries in the region to ensure a secure, stable and prosperous Middle East,” and that “among other things, this also includes aerial defense.”,Israel Creating 'Middle East Air Defense Alliance' Under US' Wing, Defense Minister Says20 June, 11:03 GMT,“We will strengthen this, as a stable Middle East is an international, regional and Israeli interest of the highest order,” Gantz said.,Iran’s military also appeared to issue an indirect response to WSJ’s report, with Armed Forces Chief of Staff Mohammad Bagheri warning Monday that Tehran “will not tolerate” the threats posed by Israel and its cooperation with CENTCOM, and “will definitely react to them.”,Israel has long touted the purported advanced capabilities of its so-called ‘Iron Beam’ laser-based air defense system, a prototype of which was unveiled last year. Earlier this month, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said the “game-changer” weapon would shift the balance in Israel’s favor, with the estimated $2 in electricity required per burst to intercept enemy rockets just a drop in the bucket compared to the tens of thousands of dollars a rocket might cost. Bennett expressed hope that the system would come online by 2023.,‘Iron Beam’: Israel’s New Laser Air Defence System ‘Will Bankrupt Enemies’, Bennett Says1 June, 11:44 GMT,Last week, Breaking Defense reported that Israel would ask Biden for more money Iron Beam’s development, on top of the $3.3 billion in annual US subsidies already received by the Israeli military and defense establishment. The outlet’s sources indicated that Israel will likely ask the US president to shell out about $300 million in additional cash.,“The relations between the US and Israel are solid. The issues that will be on the table during the visit are of utmost importance to both the US and Israel. I’m confident that the talks will be fruitful to both sides,” a senior defense source told the outlet.,During his trip to the Middle East next month, Biden is expected to tour an Israeli airbase and get a firsthand look at the prototype laser weapons being developed by Israeli defense giants Rafael and Elbit Systems.,Lasers for use against aircraft, missiles, drones, ships, and ground equipment have been on the drawing board of weapons developers since the Cold War, with engineers spending decades mulling over the prospects of replacing conventional missile and shell projectiles with the futuristic beam pulse. But energy-directed weapons have long faced what have previously been deemed unsolvable issues, such as the immense amounts of power required to operate them, as well as interaction between combat lasers and natural phenomena such as rain, fog, smog or dust, all of which dissipates their strength.,Last month, US weapons maker Raytheon reported that its own laser weapon, fitted aboard an Army Stryker vehicle, had successfully downed incoming mortar rounds in testing.,Raytheon Laser Weapon on Stryker Vehicle Succeeds at Shooting Down Incoming Mortar Shells19 May, 22:19 GMT。
二 | 他们的目标上限是让中国尽量靠近他们的立场，但他们必须守住目标的下限，那就是不与中国闹翻，把中国逼向相反的方向。所以说，中国的中立是他们应当也必须接受的。一些人强调俄罗斯在历史上伤害过中国，所以中国应当做美国的朋友。这太幼稚、简单了。此一时彼一时，今天对中国全面战略打压的是美国，在新疆、西藏、香港等问题上搞中国的是美国，给台湾民进党当局撑腰、阻止中国统一的是美国，在国际上构建反华同盟，并且有野心将中国科技发展打压下去的同样是美国。而且美国这样做的第一大原因是中国力量全面崛起了，中国怎么处理与美国的分歧，包括我们怎么对待俄罗斯，都是第二位第三位的。中美关系不可能以中方损害同俄罗斯的关系得到根本改观，中美战略僵持已经注定，而中国与俄罗斯构建新时代全面战略协作伙伴关系，有助于我们同美国长期博弈，不让中美关系走向最糟，能过得去。▲中俄务实合作成就斐然，中国连续13年成为俄罗斯最大的贸易伙伴，2023年双方贸易额达到创纪录的2400亿美元。
三 | 俄方表示，2030年中俄贸易有望达到3000亿美元。两国互利合作有着强大韧性和广阔前景。换句话说，中国因为俄罗斯有过历史悲剧，但美国在制造我们的现实威胁，是中国当前和可预见未来的地缘政治紧迫项。今天中俄做全面战略协作伙伴，这是时代大变局决定的，不以一些浪漫主义的想法为转移。当然了，中俄关系不能造成中国与其他国家、包括同西方关系的排他性。事实上，中国一直在努力实现外交战略的平衡。中德、中法之间都刚刚实现了领导人的访问，中美今年的高层接触很活跃，日本、韩国、澳大利亚都在与中国保持交往。中国在世界上没有一个传统意义上的敌人，但是美国有多个。中国称得上是历史上崛起速度最猛、姿态最温和、最强调与所有国家合作的大国。我们要自信，要保持自己的路线和节奏，不能在外部压力下自乱阵脚。
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